Skip to content

Insight

What comes next, estimated on your own history

Who might stop buying, who might not pay, how much you will sell next month. Models trained on your data, with the margin of error stated up front.

Who this is for

When the monthly report stops being enough

Reports say what happened. At some point the question changes.

You plan by the year and find out by the month

The budget is set in December and the variance shows up in March. In between there is nothing to steer by.

Customers leave without announcing it

You learn a customer is gone when the order does not arrive. The signals had been in the data for months.

Invoices collect slowly, but you cannot say from whom

You have a total overdue balance. You do not have a list of who is riskier than whom.

What you’re losing now

What you lose by reacting instead of anticipating

Not in the abstract. In decisions taken a month later than they could have been.

A lost customer costs more than a new one

A customer kept with one call at the right moment is cheaper than one found from scratch.

Cash-flow gets planned on hope

Without an estimate of collections, planning payments is an exercise in optimism.

Stock is set on last year’s average

An average catches neither seasonality nor shifts in demand. The result is capital tied up or an empty shelf.

What we deliver

Four deliverables, each with its accuracy written down

Not a model — answers to questions you already ask. Each with its own margin of error.

01 Payment risk score

On open invoices, a score that says who is riskier than whom. Not a bad-payer label — an order in which to call.

02 Customers at risk of leaving

Built on signals from your own data: how long since they ordered, how the frequency changed, how many returns they made.

03 Sales and demand forecast

An estimate for next month, as a range rather than a single number. A planning reference, not a budget target.

04 The margin of error, next to every figure

Every model comes with its accuracy measured on data it did not see during training. If a model is not good enough, we say so and do not ship it.

How we work

First we check whether the data supports a prediction

Not every question has an answer in the data you hold. That is settled in the first week, not at the end.

  1. What you want to anticipate

    Duration: 1 conversation

    We pick one or two questions, not ten. One prediction that gets used beats five that get built.

  2. Checking the history

    We check whether there is enough data and enough history for a model to learn from. If there is not, we say so here.

  3. Training and measurement

    The model trains on part of the history and is tested on the rest, which it has not seen. That is where the reported accuracy comes from.

  4. Delivered in the form it gets used

    The list of at-risk customers or the forecast lands on the screen you already open, not in a separate report.

The timeline depends on how much history you have and how clean it is. We agree it after the check in step two, not before.

What changes

Before and after

Before

Departed customers surface in the quarterly report, and the sales forecast is an average of recent months.

After

A live list of at-risk customers, and a forecast with a confidence range next to it.

What stops you

The questions you ask before you sign

How much does it cost?
The 30-minute call is free. It ends with a proposal at a fixed price for the whole project — not an hourly rate, and not an estimate that keeps moving.
How long before we see something useful?
First results appear in 2–4 weeks. Exact timing depends on how many sources you have and how clean they are — and we agree that before we start, not along the way.
What happens to our data?
It stays with you. Our tools connect to your database, read its structure and build the reporting measures there — nothing is copied or stored on our side. You get a Power BI report file with the metrics defined, which you connect to your own source; the data in it is yours and never passes through us. The exception is prediction: a model needs history, so there we keep aggregated values and model statistics, not individual records and no confidential data. Before we get any access, we sign a confidentiality agreement and a GDPR data processing agreement.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the question and on your data, and you get the number before you decide whether to use the model. Every model is tested on a slice of history it did not see during training, and the accuracy measured there is written next to the result. When the data does not support a conclusion, we say so rather than invent one.
What happens when the model is wrong?
It will be wrong somewhere, certainly. That is why we deliver ranges rather than single numbers, and why the forecast is a planning reference rather than a budget target. A model that is off by ten per cent and tells you so is useful; one that looks exact and says nothing about its margin is not.

From the same stage

The rest of the insight stage

Prediction needs clean history. Profitability and the sales analysis are what produce it.

Most requested

Profitability & cash-flow

Know exactly where you make profit, where you lose, and how your cash-flow will look in 3–6 months. With “what-if” scenarios.

  • Profit per client / product / channel
  • Fixed vs. variable cost analysis
  • 3–6 month cash-flow forecast
  • Decision scenarios
Learn more

Sales & customers

Understand which clients bring value, where you’re losing opportunities, and where your sales team should focus.

  • Pipeline and conversion analysis
  • Customer segmentation by value
  • Identifying profitable clients
  • Commercial focus recommendations
Learn more

Your company, always current

The metrics that matter, on one screen, updated automatically. Not fifty charts — the indicators you actually run the business on.

  • Metrics written for decision-makers
  • Automatically updated dashboard
  • Automated monthly reporting
Learn more

Anomalies & patterns

We analyse every table in your systems and surface what falls outside the pattern: repetitions, missing counterparts, unusual values, concentrations. No hand-written rules.

  • Analysis across every source
  • Ordered by relevance
  • Every finding with its context
Learn more
Back to Analytics

Next step

A 30-minute conversation, no strings attached

Tell us which decision you want to make better. We’ll tell you whether we can help, and how, concretely.